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Sunday, September 19, 2010

The Fantasy Man - Fantasy Football Week 2 Questions

Fantasy football advice for week 2 is here! Not to many tough questions this week since we have somewhat of an idea as to how some players "should" perform. Below are some of the questions I've been dealing with in my 7 leagues....

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Matt Forte - I actually have a team where I drafted Arian Foster, Matt Forte and Darren McFadden along with my first round RB. Uggh, decisions, decisions. The big plus for Forte is that the Cowboys are terrible against pass catching RB's and since the Bears are a pass first offense, you have to like this matchup. I also think the cowboys will win which means the Bears are playing from behind with Forte as the #1 pass option.

Darren McFadden - Great week the first week but the only reason he's a mention is because Michael Bush is still out and the Raiders are home against the Rams. You can look to McFadden to have a similar week as last week while catching a few passes and maybe a TD. I think he's a better play over a guy like Jamaal Charles or even Beanie Wells with a full load of touches plus some receiving opportunities for you PPR hounds. McFadden still needs to prove himself and this is a game where he has to show he's capable and not a one week wonder. I like it.

Jamaal Charles - Yes, the Chiefs are in Cleveland but no, I still don't like Charles as any more than a desperate flex play. It's clear that Charles is a more dynamic back over Thomas Jones but Charles only had 11 carries last week for 92 yards and a TD. However, the TD run was a 56 yarder. Take that out and Charles was only so-so. Does anyone think Charles is going to get 20+ carries this week? I don't. Throw in T-Jones at the goalline and a does of Dexter McCluster and your going to miss out on fantasy points with someone on your bench. I like Charles only if you don't have a better option. Also, it's not like you can sleep on Cleveland either. So there's no guarantee that the Chiefs will be winning and running the entire game.

Beanie Wells - Still nursing the bruised knee and is still inactive. Leave on the bench.

Randy Moss - Will be covered by the Jets' Darrelle Revis. That's all I need to say. I am taking a risk and benching Moss in 3 different leagues. I need points! Period. Even id Moss grabs 40 yards and a TD that's a solid 10 points but getting the 6 TD points is just too risky against a stout Jets defense and the best cornerback in the game. It's just not a good play. However, those of you who like to play emotion, maybe you get a nice game out of Moss who is looking for that contract extension. If he wants that exstension, he's got to perform! I'm still benching him this week. It's ballsy, but I need to give my teams a greater chance to win.

Mike Thomas - I guarantee he's most likely on your waiver wire. Thomas is speedy and scrappy but he's Jacksonville's version of Wes Welker. We love Wes Welker types. Big sleeper who gets return/kickoff yardage.

Danny Amendola - See Mike Thomas. Another sleeper who led the Rams in catches last week.

Steve Breaston - Larry Fitzgerald is questionable and Early Doucet is out which means there should be a heavy dose of Steve Breaston this week. If you have room to activate Breaston, go for it.

Percy Harvin - Looks like he will play this week even with the hip injury this week. Brett Farve will be passing heavy this week so Harvin makes for a decent 3rd WR or Flex play.

Big Game Alert - This week the big game alert will go to Malcolm Floyd. Jacksonville blows against the pass and Floyd had a down game last week. Runner up goes to Steve Breaston.

Bust of the Week - Randy Moss, which sucks because I have him on 3 of 7 teams! Darrelle Revis is to ridiculous to justify trusting Moss this week.

Sunday, September 12, 2010

The Fantasy Man - Week 1 Fantasy Football Decisions

Fantasy Football advice is finally here!!!  Anyone make a few bucks betting on College Football yesterday? I'm going to try to whip out a quick post like this on saturday nights or sunday mornings depending on my work schedule to get you my thoughts on some of fantasy football's toughest decisions. Deciding on who to activate or bench can be tricky and can be the deciding factor in winning or losing a week in head 2 head leagues. Below is a list of thoughts on what I'm deciding between.  I have about 6 serious fantasy football teams this year so between all of them, you might be looking at the same problems as me. In the end, I'm merely a suggestion box. Don't come crying to me when you start Jamaal Charles this  after all his preseason hype and he goes poo-poo style all over your statbox. So let's start there....

- Jamaal Charles - He's probably a solid play in PPR leagues with Dexter McCluster likely OUT for today as he'll have to pick up some of the receptions/carries that would have gone to McCluster. However, Thomas Jones is still in the mix and will probably grab the goal line carries. It's still unclear how they will use these two overall. So week one is kind of a test. After this week, I think we'll see more Charles and less Thomas, but this week is certainly a risk. I have a team that starts 2 RB and a flex and I have Stephen Jackson, Jamaal Charles, Matt Forte, and Arian Foster. I'm sitting Charles with Matt Forte healthy and looking good plus he's up against Detroit. Hard to pass that up. So I'm benching Charles' risk for Forte's upside. If my plan blows up, so be it.  If you have a star RB and you have a Forte, Tim Hightower, or Foster on the bench, they are the safer plays over Charles playing against weak defenses. San Diego is a solid defense so I thinking it will be a tough week for Charles.

- Beanie Wells - Enough already!  Just bench the guy!  Tim Hightower is your guy this week against the St. Louis Rams. If he comes out and gets 8 carries and scores a TD then whatever. If you handcuffed Wells with Hightower in the draft, use Hightower this week and bench Wells.

- Michael Bush/Darren McFadden - I'm passing on both RB's this week. I had McFadden as a sleeper on just about every team I own but he's on the bench on every one of those teams.  Bush has the thumb injury, it looks like he'll play but is he really going to be that effective?  Tennessee's defense is the deciding factor for me. I think McFadden will have the bigger day of the two but how big? Who knows.

- Braylon Edwards - In shallow leagues like 8 or 10 team leagues where you use 3 WR's, I'm passing on Edwards for a Jabar Gaffney, Mike Thomas or Mike Williams in TB. Edwards is in a contract year but there's no question that the Jets will run first, Sanantonio Holmes will be #1 when he gets back and this week they play the Ravens who are solid against the pass.  Gaffney will be part of a pass first offense in Denver this week as the #1 over Eddie Royal, Mike Thomas is #2 and only one of a very few viable offensive options in Jacksonville (and returns punts/kicks if you count that), and Mike Williams is the only other viable WR in Tampa Bay other than TE Kellen Winslow. So all three make nice plays this week.

- Kyle Orton - At QB, a guy like Orton jumps out because the RB corp is suspect while Jabar Gaffney and all his preseason hype seems on the rise. If your desperate for a QB and don't want to rely on a Matt Stafford or Sam Bradford as your #2, Kyle Orton makes sense here.

My fantasy football philosophy this year is ..... "If it gives you a headache, just bench 'em!"
My favorite quote of the week... "If you have to think about it, it probably is!" - Mike The Situation

The Fantasy Man

Thursday, September 2, 2010

The Fantasy Man -'s MIC WARS Fantasy Football Draft Analysis

Just finished a fantasy football draft on Yahoo! for 's Mic Wars Fantasy Football Expert League which consisted of some fantastic fantasy football podcasts hosts. Thanks to Dave Gawron of Roto Community for the invite.

10 team league, 1 point PPR, 4 points Pass TD, everything else normal, 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1WR/RB/TE, 1K, 1DEF, 6BN.

This league is obviously Wide Receiver heavy, so getting top WR talent is necessary, but, if you know where the cracks are, you can find light.  Of course, I open up the draft room and I have the first pick!!! Great, now by the time my 2nd/3rd picks come, all of the good WR's are gone! Gotta love the game!

R1 - Adrian Peterson - I love doing the opposite of what the magazines promote!
R2 - DeSean Jackson - All th eno brainers are gone, slight risk with new QB but super explosive.
R3 - Peyton Manning - I know, I know, QB is deep.... I just couldn't resist. Like I always say, I like to get the best at a position!
R4 - Steve Smith (NYG) - I hope I got the NYG Smith and not the other. PPR league so he made sense.
R5 - Antonio Gates - Best at the position, just missed Dallas Clark by a pick or two.
R6 - Mike Wallace - The guy will be a beast this year!
R7 - Reggie Bush - He's the fantasy football version of Rickie Weeks and its 2010, stock down and I like surprises.
R8 - T.J. Houshmandzadeh - A little risky, if Seattle moves him, could be a steal!
R9 - Ricky Williams - Who knows with this guy. It's bench player time anyway.
R10 - LaDanian Tomlinson - I think He'll surprise early and be better than expected, good value here.
R11 - Darren McFadden - Great for PPR, great preseason, Should start the first few games.
R12 - Ben Roethlisberger - Can't get a better back up then him.
R13 - Julian Edelman - Another Wes Welker type? PPR baby!
R14 - Heath Miller - Solid TE backup.
R15 - Nate Kaeding - Top Kicker in my opinion... I like to have the best and didn't have to stretch.
R16 - Batimore DST - I had the last pick and still landed Baltimore, I'll take it!

So that's it. Anyone see any holes? Probably could have picked a stronger WR earlier, maybe instead of Manning and then waited on a QB but I couldn't resist. You can wait until the later rounds and grab a Matt Ryan, Joe Flacco or Jay Cutler and be fine or you can go this route and draft some value WR later like Houzamadaddy, Wallace and Edelman for example. Overall, I actually like it but we'll see what happens. Thoughts?

The Fantasy Man
Fantasy Football Express