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Saturday, November 22, 2008

Chris Mulligan's Week 12 Forecast

Chris Mulligan's Week 12 Forecast

I can’t believe that it’s already Week 12 of the National Football League and that means it’s getting down to crunch time and everyone’s looking to make that playoff push. Other people are trying to knock their buddies out of the playoff race. It’s the most exciting time of the fantasy football season. Six weeks to go, so let’s get into what you need to know to win this week.

Favorable Matchups

- You might think I’m nuts for giving you this one but I believe that this is the week that Roy Williams actually comes back to life and does something productive. I’m thinking that Tony Romo knocked off the rust last week and is ready to come out firing against the 49ers 24th ranked pass defense. It looks like Mike Singletary has his guys playing a little better but Dallas has to keep the momentum going if they want to make the playoffs. They need Roy Williams to step up and this is the week it happens. Predictions: 6 rec, 97 RecYds, 2 TD.

- Dallas Clark has always been Peyton Manning’s go-to guy and I think Peyton is really going to have to depend on him this week against the Chargers. Now you’re thinking “The Chargers, come on!”. The Chargers are going to be a more aggressive defense under Ron Rivera and Chico knows that the way to beat the Colts is to pressure Manning. If Manning is facing blitzes all day then he’s going to half to dump it off quick to his tight end. Prediction: 8 rec, 91 RecYds 1 TD.

- The Redskins take on the Seattle defense this week which gives the Redskins offense a chance to put up some points this week. Santana Moss was basically shutout last week against the Cowboys. It’s not going to happen this week. I see a scenario where Moss easily goes for over 100 yds against the worst pass defense in the league. Prediction: 7 rec, 145 RecYds 1 TD.

- David Garrard and the Jaguars will host the Vikings this weekend and I’m seeing a good week for Garrard. Minnesota’s defense has been disappointing and hasn’t played well as of late. Now they have to travel all the way down to Jacksonville. The Jags run game will open things up for Garrard and the passing game. The Jags are due for a big game and after facing the Titans defense last week, the Vikings D will seem like the Washington Huskies D. Prediction: 282 PaYds, 2 TD, 45 RuYds.

- Jamal Lewis has been running great lately and he doesn’t stop this week. Cleveland will take on the 24th ranked run defense of the Texans in Cleveland. The Browns are going to need a big game from Lewis with Brady Quinn’s hurt finger possibly hampering the passing game. Lewis continues to run hard and carry the Browns on his back on Sunday. Prediction: 115 RuYds, 2 TD.

Unfavorable Matchups

- Matt Ryan and the Falcons will face one of the best defenses in the league in the form of the Carolina Panthers. Ryan has been awesome this season but didn’t have a great matchup last week and has an even worse one this week. As much as I’d like to believe that Ryan can fare well against the Panthers D, I just don’t see it happening. Roddy White will get his catches but he might be the only Falcons offensive player getting good fantasy points this week. Prediction: 225 PaYd 1 TD.

- Brian Westbrook is a must start every week but don’t expect a whole lot out of him this week. The Eagles face the Ravens this week and it’s going to be a tough matchup for Westbrook. The only way he gets good points is if you have him in a PPR league as Donovan McNabb may have to dump it off to Westbrook often in the face of pressure. I know that Brandon Jacobs and the Giants running backs had a good game against the Ravens but Ray Lewis will have his boys fired up for this one. Prediction: 65 RuYd, 5 rec 38 Rec Yd.

- The Dolphins will take on a banged up Patriots defense this week but a defense with a chip on it’s shoulder. Ronnie Brown and the Dolphins’ Wildcat offense may have caught the Patriots by surprise the first time but I don’t see it happening again. Bill Belichik will have the Patriots D prepared for whatever the Dolphins have to throw at them. Ronnie Brown hasn’t done a whole lot lately anyways. The Patriots are going to be ready for a little payback so if you have other options, it may be a good week to sit Brown. Prediction: 61 RuYds, 3 rec 29 RecYds.

Game Notes Around the League

- It’s still up in there air whether or not Brandon Jacobs plays this week against the Cardinals. I have a feeling that the Giants sit him this week. This leaves a ton of point opportunities for Derrick Ward and Ahmad Bradshaw. Ward is owned in most leagues but Bradshaw is still available in a lot of leagues. The Giants have been using Bradshaw more the last few weeks and he looks to be giving the Giants some fresh legs. I think that Bradshaw is the more explosive runner of the two and has more big play capability. He ran for 96 yds on only 9 carries last week. If he’s available then what are you waiting for?

- It looks as if Reggie Bush will make his return this week but don’t expect him to carry the load right away. Pierre Thomas will still have some value and may even be worth starting this week. Especially so this week since the Saints go up against the Packers and their pathetic run defense.

- With Earnest Graham going on IR, Warrick Dunn is now the main running back for the Bucs. John Gruden still doesn’t know what he’s going to do with Cadiallac Williams yet. He may gets some touches this week but it would be a big risk to start him. He may give you some value in the next few weeks but don’t expect much from him.

- Deion Branch is listed as probable for Sunday but was limited in practice this week with a heel injury. I would advise you to stay away from any Seahawk WR for the foreseeable future. Even though Matt Hasselbeck is back Seattle hasn’t been able to muster much at all on either side of the ball.

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